GDP forecast based on semantic business cycle identification - release: 2014-11-12 |
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Table: Swiss real gross domestic product with forecast | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Sources: Own calculations, forecast for 2014(3), fitted values otherwise, *seco releases (left: May 27, 2014, right: September 30, 2014). Growth rates are not comparable due to revision of the system of national accounts statistics in September 2014. Sample: 2000 (2) - 2014 (2), Forecast: 2014 (3) Note: Forecasts obtained by best nowcasting model. |
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Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP: Ex-ante forecast properties | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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«home | Forthcoming: «KOF surprise indicator's» as a means of temporal disaggregation. Testing temporal disaggregation accepted for publication in the Journal of Economics and Statistics. Read the working paper version here» | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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*Standard error of regression refers to baseline model published in the first release. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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