Figure: Business cycle indicator based on semantic identification in comparison to real GDP and the KOF barometer
 

 

  Last update
2007-11-30
  Adjusted R-squared
0.89
     
 
Sample: 2000(2)-2006(1) , forecasted: 2006(2) through 2007 (4)
     
     
     
    Table 1: GDP forecasts
   
         
Date
year-to-year growth (%)
quarterly growth rate (%)
  forecast realisation forecast realisation
2006(2)
3.17693 3.24254 1.94146
1.98515
2006(3) 3.20272 3.32144 0.183877 0.227886
2006(4)
2.83032 2.87647 2.05173 1.98269
2007(1)
2.57082 2.68661 -1.59052 -1.49419
2007(2) 2.61125 2.79213 1.98912 2.08995
2007(3) 2.71552 2.9 0.297655 nan
2007(4)
2.64455 nan 1.98179 nan
     
     
  Literature: see here
  Data first release